A Toolkit to Redesign Your Thinking for the Quantum Age

Ernesto van Peborgh
7 min readOct 28, 2024

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A Framework for Navigating Paradigm Shifts

The way we see the world shapes everything — our designs, our relationships, the way we live our lives, and even how we understand our purpose. Our perspective, our paradigm, is not just a lens through which we view reality; it dictates how we interact with it. Throughout history, shifts in these paradigms have led to profound transformations. Think of the shift from the Ptolemaic to the Copernican worldview, or from the Cartesian-Newtonian mechanics to what many now call a quantum way of thinking. We stand at the edge of such a shift today.

Let’s start with a brief journey back in time. In the Ptolemaic vision of the universe, Earth was considered the center of everything. The stars, the planets, the sun — everything revolved around us. This wasn’t just a scientific model; it was a framework that shaped social, religious, and spiritual views. The entire structure of society was built upon this belief.

Then came Copernicus.

Copernicus and Ptolemaeus debate heliocentric vs. geocentric paradigms.

He dared to suggest that, rather than the universe revolving around Earth, Earth actually revolved around the sun. This was radical, to say the least. It wasn’t just a new way of seeing the cosmos; it was a challenge to the established order, to the way people thought about their place in the universe.

The backlash was fierce. He faced condemnation, persecution, and the full weight of a system that couldn’t bear to see itself displaced. It was only years later, when Galileo gazed through his telescope and confirmed Copernicus’ model, that the truth began to shift the paradigm.

Today, we find ourselves in a similar moment of transition. For the last few centuries, our understanding of the world has been shaped by the Cartesian and Newtonian paradigm — a mechanistic way of thinking that sees the universe as a giant clockwork machine, with parts that can be isolated, analyzed, and understood independently.

This perspective has driven enormous progress, allowing us to build incredible technologies, predict natural phenomena, and develop systems that power modern civilization. Yet, as we stand on the cusp of the 21st century, we are beginning to see the limitations of this mechanistic worldview.

Enter the quantum paradigm, a systemic way of thinking that sees the world not as a machine, but as an interconnected web of relationships, where the whole is greater than the sum of its parts.

This is a shift from seeing things as isolated elements to seeing them as part of a dynamic, interdependent system. Just as Copernicus faced resistance for challenging the geocentric view, this new way of thinking also encounters pushback because it challenges deeply ingrained beliefs and structures. Yet, technology — much like Galileo’s telescope — will play a pivotal role in proving this new perspective.

So, what is systemic thinking?

It’s a way of seeing the world as a set of interconnected systems, where each element is integral and interdependent with others. Think of your body, dear reader. It’s a system composed of organs, each fulfilling its role to keep you alive. But it doesn’t stop there. Each organ is itself a system of cells, and those cells are systems of molecules. Systems are nested, and they operate together to create a cohesive whole.

A Whole is Something that is singular, alive, and evolving.

This is the essence of systemic thinking — understanding the whole, not just its parts, and recognizing that the health of one element affects the entire system.

The shift we are experiencing now is akin to the shift from Ptolemaic to Copernican. Just as the old worldview couldn’t explain everything, our mechanistic, Cartesian view struggles to address the complexities of today’s world — climate change, social inequality, economic instability, and more.

These are systemic issues, and they require systemic solutions. But how do we make this transition? How do we move from a worldview that sees things as separate and independent to one that recognizes the interconnected, interdependent nature of reality?

We need a new roadmap, a framework to guide us through this transition. Just as Galileo’s telescope helped people see the truth of the Copernican model, technology will help us understand and embrace the systemic, quantum paradigm. Artificial intelligence, blockchain, quantum computing — these are the new telescopes of our age, enabling us to visualize and navigate complex systems like never before. But to use them effectively, we need to shift our mindset, to develop a new way of thinking.

This framework for systemic thinking is not just about understanding systems; it’s about learning to see wholes, to understand the relationships between parts, and to recognize that everything is connected. It’s about moving beyond linear, cause-and-effect thinking and embracing a more holistic, dynamic approach. And just as the Copernican revolution reshaped society, this new paradigm will transform how we design, relate, and live our lives.

So, how do we begin shifting our minds from a mechanistic, Cartesian view of the world to a quantum, systemic perspective?

The first step is to develop the capacity to understand our current paradigm from a broader, systemic point of view. It starts with sensemaking — learning to identify and comprehend the positive and negative feedback loops that drive the current model we operate within. Only when we can clearly see the forces that shape our systems can we begin to make informed interventions and steer these systems in new directions.

But understanding a paradigm when you’re immersed in it is no easy task. It’s like being a fish trying to describe water. The fish has been in water its entire life, so how could it possibly explain it? It’s difficult to recognize the thing that surrounds you, supports you, and defines your environment. However, what if I invited you to leap out of the water, even if just for a moment, and take a glimpse of the world from a new vantage point, like a dolphin breaching the ocean’s surface? Suddenly, you’d understand what water is — not just because of what you’ve seen, but because you’ve felt what it means to be outside of it.

This is precisely what the Three Horizons Framework by Bill Sharpe helps us to do. It allows us to leap out of our current paradigm and gain a holistic perspective, to see the forces at play from above rather than from within. By zooming out, we can see the patterns, the waves, and the currents, instead of just swimming along in them. And as we get better at this, we can even start to swim between two worlds — like a flying fish — able to leap in and out of different paradigms, seeing the water for what it is, and understanding the possibilities beyond it.

The Three Horizons Framework is a tool that forces us to look at the present, the future, and the transition between the two. It helps us see where our current systems are heading (Horizon 1), what new systems are emerging on the periphery (Horizon 3), and what actions we can take to bridge the two (Horizon 2). This framework isn’t just about forecasting; it’s about shifting our perspective. It enables us to imagine new futures and understand how to transition from the old paradigms to new ones, mapping out the forces that push and pull us in different directions.

We are at a moment where the need for this kind of thinking is greater than ever. Just as the Copernican revolution forced humanity to reimagine its place in the universe, the shift to a quantum, systemic way of thinking is calling us to rethink how we understand our world and our place in it. If we want to navigate the complexities of the 21st century — climate change, economic inequality, technological disruption — we need more than just better tools. We need a new mindset, one that sees systems, understands connections, and can shift between paradigms.

The Three Horizons Framework is a way to start developing this mindset. It invites us to leap out of the water and see the whole ocean, to understand not just where we are but where we could be heading. And as we learn to navigate between these horizons, we can begin to steer our world toward a future that is more sustainable, more equitable, and more interconnected.

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Ernesto van Peborgh
Ernesto van Peborgh

Written by Ernesto van Peborgh

Entrepreneur, writer, filmmaker, Harvard MBA. Builder of systemic interactive networks for knowledge management.

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