The Green Wall: Aligning Economy, Ecology, and Technology.

Ernesto van Peborgh
3 min readOct 23, 2024

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There’s an uncomfortable truth we’ve been grappling with in the world of conservation: saving the planet’s last untouched ecosystems simply isn’t economically viable. Deforested land is often seen as more valuable than pristine forests. This stark reality means that unless we rethink how we align conservation with economic incentives, our efforts will continue to fail. But there’s a new model emerging — one that combines the power of cutting-edge technology with the ancient wisdom of nature — and it could be the key to building what I like to call a “Green Wall.”

Let’s step back for a second. Right now, conservation efforts are vulnerable on two fronts: first, local communities are often not involved, leading to illegal activities like logging and poaching, which turn these protected areas into resource pools for extraction. Second, climate change and desertification from surrounding lands make even the best-preserved areas susceptible to collapse.

Doug and Chris Tompkins, pioneers in large-scale land conservation, realized, that excluding people from the equation doesn’t work. You need to bring local communities into the fold and provide them with incentives to work with nature, not against it. That’s where agroforestry — the practice of growing crops under the shade of trees — comes in. Companies like Guayakí and initiatives like Instituto da Toca and Ernst Götsch have shown that this hybrid model of conservation and sustainable agriculture can protect ecosystems while also producing high-value, nutrient-rich products like yerba mate, coffee, and cacao.

But here’s the bigger idea: we need to go beyond just agricultural buffers and actually assign value to the conservation itself. That’s where biodiversity credits come in. Under agreements like the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework, these credits could be issued for preserving ecosystems and the services they provide, from carbon sequestration to water purification. Essentially, we’d be paying to keep ecosystems alive — and creating a market that justifies doing so.

Think of it like this: the combination of agroforestry and biodiversity credits would create a literal and economic “green wall” — a resilient barrier of sustainable agriculture and biodiversity that would protect conservation areas while providing financial incentives for local communities. This alignment of economy and ecology is what we’ve been missing.

Now, let’s talk about technology. We’re at a point where exponential technologies like AI, blockchain, and sensors are evolving rapidly, and they could be game-changers for conservation. Today, we can measure place-based ecological interactions — how species depend on each other and the environment — with a level of precision that was unimaginable even a few years ago. Sensors can provide reliable and verifiable data that can be loaded into AI-driven models like Bayesian inference or digital twins, which replicate the dynamics of real ecosystems.

These models don’t just process information — they simulate the actual systems. By doing so, we can begin to understand the mechanisms that make ecosystems resilient, adaptive, and sustainable. Imagine having AI that not only helps us manage conservation better but also guides regenerative agricultural practices. That’s the kind of future we’re looking at — a future where technology helps us mimic the very patterns that nature uses to thrive.

In short, the marriage of economy, ecology, and technology is not just possible — it’s essential. We need new models that incentivize conservation economically, provide local communities with a purpose, and use cutting-edge technology to make sure that what we preserve can actually sustain itself.

The “Green Wall” isn’t just a metaphor; it’s a blueprint for a sustainable future.

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Ernesto van Peborgh
Ernesto van Peborgh

Written by Ernesto van Peborgh

Entrepreneur, writer, filmmaker, Harvard MBA. Builder of systemic interactive networks for knowledge management.