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We’ve Reached a Tipping Point. It’s Now a Mathematical Certainty.

This is the moment of truth — not to panic, but to face the facts with clarity, and begin the work of transformation.

7 min readMay 23, 2025
Photo by Stas Knop — pexels

It starts with a rhythm.
Tac-tac-tac-tac-tac-tac-tac-tac-tac.
You’ve heard it before, even if you didn’t notice. It’s the sound of inevitability. The mechanical ascent of the Montaña Rusa — what we call a roller coaster in Spanish. A simple metaphor. A perfect one.

For the last few decades, we weren’t just climbing — we were being hauled upward in a mechanical ascent, like the slow, tension-filled rise of a roller coaster.

Click by click, Tac by tac we built momentum — not through wisdom or restraint, but through leveraged illusions: compounding debt, exponential extraction, artificial intelligence outpacing human ethics, social media-fed polarization, and escalating global conflict. It wasn’t progress — it was pressure. And just like the roller coaster, there comes a tipping point — one final clack — before the rails vanish beneath us and we plunge into free fall.

We yoked ourselves to the Four Horsemen of systemic risk, as Nate Hagens names them: economic entrapment through debt-fueled consumption, ecological…

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Ernesto van Peborgh
Ernesto van Peborgh

Written by Ernesto van Peborgh

Entrepreneur, writer, filmmaker, Harvard MBA. Builder of systemic interactive networks for knowledge management.

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